Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.638723 1.780400 1.930707 2.102392 2.293489 2.500135 2.741136
2026-02-08 1.403508 1.593899 1.807376 2.065762 2.371749 2.724657 3.165529
2026-02-15 1.257725 1.475246 1.729288 2.050464 2.449328 2.933197 3.572007
2026-02-22 1.178074 1.419200 1.710528 2.092666 2.587040 3.213890 4.083327
2026-03-01 1.091637 1.343722 1.656804 2.080127 2.646798 3.392763 4.472427
2026-03-08 1.012923 1.269805 1.596426 2.049745 2.674887 3.525517 4.804588
2026-03-15 0.931654 1.185767 1.515258 1.982734 2.643914 3.569567 5.008587
2026-03-22 0.888934 1.148965 1.492941 1.992149 2.717024 3.762670 5.446912
2026-03-29 0.859454 1.127439 1.488847 2.025053 2.824041 4.011385 5.993421
2026-04-05 0.830117 1.103823 1.479558 2.048534 2.917102 4.244645 6.537871
2026-04-12 0.800485 1.077724 1.464567 2.061563 2.993725 4.456757 7.068044
2026-04-19 0.769099 1.047161 1.440938 2.059244 3.044970 4.630690 7.549382
2026-04-26 0.727039 0.999685 1.390848 2.014522 3.027405 4.693308 7.846501
2026-05-03 0.692533 0.961543 1.352501 1.985430 3.032641 4.794039 8.224647
2026-05-10 0.664826 0.932024 1.325365 1.971952 3.062003 4.937693 8.699756
2026-05-17 0.652578 0.924934 1.331774 2.012363 3.184844 5.256623 9.558366
2026-05-24 0.628742 0.898992 1.307448 2.000461 3.215528 5.409763 10.098490
2026-05-31 0.602678 0.868419 1.274252 1.971525 3.213463 5.500656 10.517601
2026-06-07 0.570599 0.827177 1.222212 1.907669 3.143837 5.456174 10.635805
2026-06-14 0.556232 0.813102 1.213057 1.916643 3.207743 5.676389 11.373392
2026-06-21 0.547334 0.807237 1.216803 1.948000 3.315213 5.992656 12.377946
2026-06-28 0.537080 0.798704 1.215636 1.970373 3.406910 6.285028 13.370213
2026-07-05 0.525437 0.787399 1.209238 1.982786 3.479872 6.544685 14.321901